Why Zero Sales Come In (At Least) Two Kinds
Summary: In retail forecasting, zero-sales ev…
Malte Tichy,
6月 18, 2024
10 min read
Forecasting Evaluation Pitfalls
In Part 1 of this blog post, we introduced c…
Malte Tichy,
6月 17, 2024
11 min read
Why We Expect To Sell Less Than We Predict
How to account for finite capacity in demand …
Malte Tichy,
6月 11, 2024
10 min read
Calibration and Sharpness: The Two Independent Aspects of Forecast Quality
What Is a Good Forecast? Forecasts are like f…
Malte Tichy,
8月 22, 2023
9 min read
How To Fix Mean Absolute Error, Part 2
Part 2: How the Ranked Probability Score reco…
Malte Tichy,
1月 9, 2023
9 min read
How To Fix Mean Absolute Error, Part 1
The deceiving surprises that Mean Absolute Er…
Malte Tichy,
11月 29, 2022
14 min read
Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) Has Served Its Duty and Should Now Retire
Executive summary According to Gartner (2018 …
Malte Tichy,
8月 4, 2022
17 min read
Forecasting Few Is Different, Part 2
This is a two-part story by Malte Tichy about…
Malte Tichy,
6月 9, 2022
10 min read
Forecasting Few Is Different, Part 1
When dealing with sales forecasts that concer…
Malte Tichy,
6月 2, 2022
11 min read
You Should Not Always Have Known Better: Understand and Avoid the Hindsight Selection Bias in Probabilistic Forecast Evaluation
This blog post on forecast evaluation discuss…
Malte Tichy,
1月 24, 2022
12 min read